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NEW QUESTION: 1
The accuracy of a VaR estimate based on a Monte carlo simulation of portfolio prices is affected by:
I. The shape of the distribution of portfolio values
II. The number simulations carried out
III. The confidence level selected for the VaR estimate
A. III
B. B
C. I, II and III
D. II and III
E. II
Answer: B
Explanation:
Explanation
VaR calculations look at the lower part of the distribution of future portfolio values, for example, if the desired confidence level is 95%, the cut-off for the VaR calculation will be at the bottom 5%; similarly at 1% for a
99% confidence level. The number of observations that will end up in these bottom ranges will be few and sparse, and therefore their accuracy will generally be lower than, say, the average where observations are more likely to be concentratred. If the shape of the distribution of future portfolio values is not symmetrical and has a long tail to the left, then this problem gets further exacerbated as there may be even fewer and less reliable simulated numbers at the 5% or 1% quintiles. Thus the shape of the distribution will affect the accuracy of a VaR estimate. The distribution for a short option position, for example, will have a long tail to the left, and the VaR number will be quite significantly affected by a few simulations. On the other hand, for a long option position where the long tail is to the right, and we are interested in the left tail which is better defined and ends at zero we are more likely to get a better VaR estimate. Therefore Statement I is correct.
The number of simulations carried out directly affects the standard error, which is inversely proportional to the square root of the sample size (ie the number of simulations). THe accuracy of the VaR estimate can be increased by increasing the sample size (or reduced by reducing the sample size). Therefore Statement II is correct.
The confidence level selected for the VaR estimate also affects the accuracy of the estimate. To intuitively understand this, consider this extreme example where the desired confidence level is 99.9% and there are 1000 observations. Therefore the VaR will be determined by the last value in the sample, and will therefore be quite fickle and dependent upon what chance produces as the lowest value in the simulation. But if for the same sample the confidence level desired were to be 90%, there would be 100 observations beyond the 90% cut-off and this would be a much more stable and accurate number. Therefore the confidence level selected for the VaR estimate is also a determinant of the accuracy of the VaR estimate derived from the simulation. Statement III is correct.
Thus all statements are correct and Choice 'b' is the correct answer.
NEW QUESTION: 2
Which one of the following four statements regarding floating rate bonds is incorrect?
A. Floating rate bonds are very sensitive to changes in interest rates.
B. Floating rate bonds have coupon payments tied to floating interest rates or floating interest rate indexes.
C. Floating rate bonds only have a small degree of interest rate risk.
D. Floating rate bonds typically have less price risk than fixed rate bonds.
Answer: A
NEW QUESTION: 3
展示を参照してください。
PCがインターネットに接続できません。 DHCPサーバーがPCにデフォルトゲートウェイを発行していないと判断しました。 どの設定メカニズムでこの問題を解決できますか
A. ゲートウェイルータにスタティックARPを設定する
B. ゲートウェイルータにDHCPスヌーピングを設定する
C. ゲートウェイルータにリバースARPを設定する
Answer: B
NEW QUESTION: 4
Ein kleines Büro möchte drahtlos bereitstellen, um nur die Hälfte des Arbeitsbereichs abzudecken. Der Techniker kann den WAP aufgrund von Einschränkungen der Netzwerkbuchse nur mitten im Büro aussetzen.
Welcher der folgenden Antennentypen würde BEST diese Anforderungen erfüllen?
A. Parabolisch
B. Richtungsabhängig
C. Omnidirektional
D. Dipol
Answer: B
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